In a surprising twist in the final days of the 2024 election, a recent Iowa poll by prominent pollster Ann Selzer has found Vice President Kamala Harris leading former President Donald Trump by three points.
Traditionally a Republican stronghold, Iowa backed Trump by significant margins in both 2016 and 2020, making this shift a major headline nationwide. Selzer’s survey, released on November 3, suggests that Harris may be benefiting from a strong swing in support from female voters, particularly women over 65, where she leads Trump by a staggering 63% to 28%.
This “hidden Harris” voter effect, as some have labeled it, could potentially impact other battleground states in the Midwest, such as Wisconsin and Michigan. However, the poll has sparked debate, as conflicting data from Emerson College found Trump with a comfortable lead in Iowa, noting higher support from both genders in the state.
Harris’s unexpected rise among women could signal broader demographic shifts, as shown in additional polls by DailyMail.com, where undecided female voters expressed concerns over Trump’s stance on women’s rights. Yet, while these numbers are promising for Harris, the Midwestern dynamics and recent Republican registration surge raise questions about whether the Selzer poll represents a new trend or an outlier. Both campaigns are closely watching these last-minute swings, with the final outcome expected to be razor-thin.
